Wednesday, May 15, 2013

The Power 10 - May 15, 2013

In case you blinked, or have been submersed in the always-thrilling NBA and NHL Playoffs, the MLB season is nearly a quarter of the way through.  This is the point where April’s red flags can no longer be labeled as insignificant, and by the end of the May alarms will sound… I’m looking at you Angles. And you, Blue Jays.  And you, Dodgers.  These three sexy World Series picks are nowhere near this list, and have made the early-season ups and downs in D.C. seem utopic.

Team
Win – Loss
Run Differential
Previous Ranking
#1 – Texas Rangers
25-14
+37
5
Since Last Time: The highlight for the Rangers since the last Power 10 was a sweep of the Boston Red Sox in early May, but the real glaring mark for this team’s staying power is its 15-6 record against the AL West. They have used this dominance to build a 6 game lead, and if they sustain it they will be awfully tough to catch. Another promising stat for Texas is that they have only played 15 home games (11-4) compared to 24 away from Arlington.
 
How They Have Done It: In addition to their dominance within their division, the Rangers rank 4th in the majors in both ERA and home runs, and 2nd in team batting. Yu Darvish is making a strong early-season case for Cy Young, with an astonishing 80 strikeouts in 52.2 innings pitched, to go along with a 6-1 record and a 2.73 ERA.
 
#2 – St. Louis Cardinals
25-13
+51
8
Since Last Time: Mike Matheny’s boys have been on a blistering run since the last Power 10, going 15-5 with sweeps on the road in Washington and Milwaukee. In fact, at 14-7 the Cardinals hold the best road record in the majors.
 
How They Have Done It: Rookie Shelby Miller and Adam Wainwright held the Rockies offense hitless for 49 consecutive at bats over two games this past weekend – the longest hitless streak in the majors since 1981. In a nutshell, that’s all you need to know about why this team is where they are. The Chris Carpenter-less Cardinals pitching staff has a 3.03 ERA, allowing 125 runs (112 earned) while throwing 7 shutouts and 4 complete games – all leading the major leagues. Their +45 run differential is 2nd in baseball.
 
#3 – San Francisco Giants
23-16
+15
3
Since Last Time: The Giants weathered a 5-game losing streak immediately following the first Power 10 and have since gone 10-3 over their last 13 to barely hold on to their #3 ranking. A major determining factor was winning the last 3 games in their 4 game series against Atlanta this past weekend by a combined score of 23-4. They are also 15-6 against NL West opponents.
 
How They Have Done It: Led by Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey, the Giants offense surprisingly leads the NL in batting average, and is 2nd in hits. Madison Baumgarner (4-1 2.18 ERA) has done more than enough to lead this staff in the early going, and to compensate for a slow start from Matt Cain (2-2 5.04 ERA). Two consecutive promising starts from Cain have the defending champs setting their sights even higher.
 
#4 – Detroit Tigers
22-15
+62
10
Since Last Time: Sweeps of both Atlanta and Houston (sigh) have vaulted the Tigers in both these rankings and their division. Losing 4 of 5 through this past weekend has opened the door for a hot Cleveland team, who will host the Tigers for two games next week, after Detroit does battle in Texas this weekend. Needless to say, the Tiger’s plate will be full. 
 
How They Have Done It: You mean, other than Miguel Cabrera already driving in 300 runs?  The reigning Triple Crown winner has been absolutely incredible in the early going, posting astounding numbers across the board (.369/.441/.584 with a league leading 41 RBI) to anchor an offense that leads the majors in average, on base percentage, runs, and hits. Oh, and the pitching staff leads the AL in ERA and strikeouts. 
 
#5 – Cincinnati Reds
23-16
+36
6
Since Last Time: The Reds have posted a 12-8 record since last time, nearly identical to their 11-8 start, which was made possible by winning 7 of their past 9 games - including sweeps of the Cubs and Brewers. The Reds have taken advantage of their early season home schedule, posting an NL-leading 16-6 record at Great American Ballpark.
 
How They Have Done It: Johnny Cueto hasn’t pitched since April 13, yet the Reds still have the 3rd best ERA in the NL, trailing only St. Louis and Atlanta. Joey Votto, Shin-Soo Choo, and Brandon Phillips lead the offense which is 1st in the NL in runs scored – thanks in large part to a league leading 31 RBI from Phillips.  How is DatDudeBP leading the league in RBI? Choo and Votto have on base percentages of .451 and .444 respectively, so ducks are on the pond quite often for the Reds cleanup hitter.
 
#6 – Atlanta Braves
22-17
+28
1
Since Last Time: Well, a lot has happened since the last edition of The Power 10 for Atlanta. Not only have they gone 9-12 since our last rankings, but they have gone 10-16 since their blistering 12-1 start. Coming back to earth was to be expected, but they have quickly relinquished their advantage in the NL East. Things began going south the final weekend in April when they were swept into reality by Detroit, and that ugliness returned when they were slaughtered in San Francisco this past weekend.
 
How They Have Done It: After 3 remarkable starts to begin the season, Paul Maholm has gone back to being Paul Maholm, going 1-4 with an ERA just south of 7.00 in his last 5 starts. Last year’s pitching sensation Kris Medlen is winless since April 9, and is just 1-5 for the season – especially glaring since he was 9-0 in 12 starts last year.
 
Despite their recent struggles, obviously there’s still a lot to be happy about in Atlanta. Mike Minor looks like the real deal, and despite blowing 3 of his last 6 saves, Craig Kimbrel is still as rock solid as they come. Justin Upton also launched his 1st home run since April 27 on Monday night.
 
#7 – Baltimore Orioles
23-16
+30
NR
Since Last Time: At 23-16 the O’s have been steady and consistent since day 1, helping to dispel (for now) theories of their demise after a season that included a bloated record in one-run and extra-inning games.
 
How They Have Done It: The Orioles have an extremely well-balanced offense, which has led them to being 3rd in the majors in runs scored. Led by Chris Davis’ astounding 37 RBI, the Orioles starting lineup has 5 guys with over 20 RBI – plenty of production to go around. No sophomore slump for Manny Machado, who gives us every indication that he will be a force in this league for a long, long time. Jim Johnson had been 14/14 in save opportunities before letting one slip away last night.
 
#8 – New York Yankees
25-14
+26
NR
Since Last Time: I have waited long enough.  It is time to acknowledge the Yankees as one of the Power 10, regardless of the laundry list of injuries that have plagued them since Spring Training. After starting the season 1-4 the Yankees have gone 24-10, the best record in baseball during that stretch – also outscoring their opponents by 42 runs. Another feather in their cap – the Yankees have won games started by Justin Verlander, David Price, Felix Hernandez, and R.A. Dickey this year. Not a bad start to this “down” year for the Yanks.
 
How They Have Done It: In case you missed my post from 2 weeks ago recapping the first month of the season, I cover their early-season success in detail. They have simply kept stride in May, doing those very same things that helped get them out of the gate. Their pitching has been brilliant, really providing a nice safety net for the injury-plagued lineup. In addition to their highly praised starting rotation, Yankee relievers have posted a 0.77 ERA in the month of May, including an active scoreless streak of 23.2 innings - so when they have a lead they’re not giving it back. They’re also winning the close games, going 8-2 in one-run games. Of course, Mariano Rivera going a perfect 16/16 in save opportunities helps. Amazingly, Mo has more saves this season than the Angels, Mets, Marlins and Astros have wins!
 
#9 – Washington Nationals
21-18
-10
9
Since Last Time: Watching Bryce Harper go full speed into the wall at Dodger Stadium symbolizes the Nats season-to-date perfectly - going all out, but in a reckless, inexperienced manor and getting a surprising smack in the face. The Nats have the look of a team walking off the field with a bloody neck, as they continue to sleepwalk through the season’s first two months, going a pedestrian 11-10 over the last 3 weeks.  Their hold on this spot is tenuous to say the least, but I refuse to drop them out of the Power 10 with the roster they bring to the table every day.  There’s just too much talent on the field to meander around .500.  Are they one of the 10 best teams in baseball?  Of course they are, now it’s time for their record to reflect that.
 
How They Have Done It: Gio Gonzalez and Dan Haren have strung together a couple of good starts lately, but both came out of the gate shaky. Jordan Zimmermann’s blistering start (7-1 1.69 ERA) has helped keep the starting rotation afloat. Stephen Strasburg has not won since Opening Day, and the Nats have scored just 15 runs in those 7 winless Strasburg starts.
 
#10 – Boston Red Sox
22-17
+18
2
Since Last Time: Since the last edition of The Power 10 the Red Sox are 10-11, which like the Nats isn’t awful, but when you add the footnote that they were at one point 20-8 and have gone 2-9 over their past 11, that is a cause for concern. A faulty bullpen is usually a catalyst to long losing streaks, making the loss of Joel Hanrahan that much harder to swallow for Red Sox Nation. Tazawa and Uehara are going to need to really step up to ensure this team holds late leads. 
 
How They Have Done It: Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz are a combined 11-0 in 16 starts this year, with Buchholz sporting an eye-popping 1.69 ERA and Lester giving up 2.73 runs per 9. Can they sustain this level of dominance? If the Red Sox want to remain a contender, they better at least come close. Their offense has been getting on base, they’re 2nd in the majors in On Base Percentage, and guys like Mike Napoli are taking advantage – the Sox currently rank 6th in the majors in runs scored.
 

Dropped from last rankings: Oakland A’s (#4), Colorado Rockies (#7)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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