Saturday, April 13, 2013

The Injury Bug Bites Contenders

I was up at Bobby Valentine’s in Stamford for the National Championship game on Monday night. It is an annual tradition for me and a couple of friends. This year we got a special treat, and were able to spend 15 minutes talking baseball with Bobby V. Before our conversation ended we asked Bobby for a quick World Series prediction. He gave us a lemon face and told us he hates predicting; even casual fans can predict something. Bobby prefers to look back at what has already happened and analyze it.

When Bobby said he wouldn’t make the prediction I was a bit surprised, expecting him to have two teams in the chamber that he fires off every time someone asks him. What has happened in baseball since Sunday though has brought clarity to his comments, for me. We are two weeks into a six month, 162-game marathon, and there are already monumental injuries to big time contenders. These injuries have the potential to derail those almighty predictions from the resident MLB experts patrolling the internet.

Bobby could have blindly told me it would be an all-LA World Series. He could have told me the Jays would cash in on all of those new additions and return to The Fall Classic for the first time since Joe Carter “touched ‘em all”. Now I can see why he didn’t. Three serious injuries will cripple our early season favorites, opening the door for the rest of the league. 

Let’s take a look at the three fallen giants:

Zack Greinke
The most nonsensical of the injuries, this situation represents “old baseball” meeting “new baseball”. Charging the mound is one of those old-time, unwritten baseball sideshows. With the amount of money invested in players, on both sides of the diamond, this is way too risky to indulge. The solution to this problem is to get an arm out of the bullpen and throw a 95 mph fastball right into the ass of your Dodger of choice. 

Here’s the situation. Full count, 6th inning, Dodgers have a one-run lead. Greinke goes up and in and plunks Carlos Quentin. The two did have a history, with Greinke hitting Quentin on two other occasions when they were AL Central foes. What appeared to ignite Quentin’s rage was the comment barked from Greinke immediately following the pitch.  Since we don’t know what was said, here are two possibilities:

“My therapist will tell me why I keep throwing at you…”
“You wouldn’t have won the MVP in ‘08 anyway…”

The bottom line is that it happened, and now the Dodgers are without their #2 starter, the Robin to Kershaw’s Batman, for the next 8 weeks. The NL West has been decided by 3 games or fewer in 6 of the past 9 seasons, making this a hotly contested division. Fortunately for the Dodgers they have proven veterans in Chris Capuano and Ted Lilly who can fill the holes, but clearly neither of them have the skill set of Greinke.

Jose Reyes
Sunny days wouldn’t be special if it wasn’t for rain.”

That was a tweet from Jose Reyes after last night’s game that saw him suffer a gruesome ankle sprain. Word has just been released that Reyes will miss the full three months, as originally feared. This is absolutely the worst –case scenario for Reyes and the new-look Jays. Jose Reyes’ game IS his legs, and having him miss significant time spells big trouble for Toronto. Even after his return, playing on turf will be unforgiving.

The Jays are left with a big hole at the top of their lineup, and a bigger hold in the middle of their infield. The early concerns have surrounded the ineffectiveness of R.A. Dickey and Josh Johnson, and although a 4-6 record through 10 isn’t the end of the world, we will get a quick look at the makeup of this team by how they respond in Reyes’ absence.

Jered Weaver
Boy, can things possibly go any worse for the Angels? After losing both a game and Jered Weaver on Sunday, the Halos have dropped every game this week and are 2-8 through ten games. There were serious, legitimate concerns in the preseason about whether this team can pitch; giving up 5.8 runs per game through their first 10, and losing their ace puts a cherry on top. The bats will really need to wake up over the next 4-6 weeks while Weaver heals, or the Angels may fall into a similar hole that they did last year, a hole they could never dig out of.

This is baseball. This is why preseason picks are all in fun. This is why Bobby V. prefers to look back and analyze, instead of looking forward and predicting.

No comments:

Post a Comment